How often do NFL home teams win?

Home teams won 53.8% of NFL regular-season games in 2025, less than in most seasons before 2019, when they usually won 55% to 60%. In 2020, played mostly without fans, it fell to 50.4%, barely better than a coin flip. A tie counts as half a win; games at neutral sites, such as those abroad, are left out. The chart starts in 1999, the first season in nflverse's data.

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Key facts

Measure: Games won by the home team (%). Written from the data below.

  • The latest figure, for 2025, is 53.8%.
  • That is down 5.9 percentage points from 59.7% in 1999.
  • The highest was 61.6% in 2003.
  • The lowest was 50.4% in 2020.

Source and date

Source
nflverse, NFL schedules and scores (nflverse-data)
License
CC BY 4.0 (nflverse)
Data as of
Published

Citation

Chartly. “How often do NFL home teams win?” Chart. Data: nflverse, NFL schedules and scores (nflverse-data), https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/tag/schedules (data as of January 4, 2026). https://chart.ly/charts/nfl-home-field-advantage (accessed October 15, 2026).

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The data

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The file has the numbers in this table, with the source, license and date. Please credit the source and Chartly.

Season Games won by the home team (%)
1999 59.7
2000 55.6
2001 54.8
2002 58
2003 61.6
2004 56.6
2005 58.8
2006 53.1
2007 57.6
2008 57.3
2009 57.3
2010 55.9
2011 56.9
2012 57.5
2013 60.3
2014 57.3
2015 53.8
2016 57.7
2017 57
2018 60.5
2019 52
2020 50.4
2021 51.1
2022 56.6
2023 55.8
2024 52.4
2025 53.8

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